Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: BIDVEST PROGRESS PLATE (1,2 & 3 time winners)
Line Horse
Fostinovo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Zinovi 2 53.0 1 0.00 0.0 96 93 93 -3 2 Princeofgreen 2 52.5 2 4.75 0.0 88 92 92 +4 3 Fostinovo 3 58.0 3 5.50 8.0 87 87 87 +0 4 Calida 2 53.0 4 6.00 0.0 85 93 93 +8 5 Star Coin 5 60.5 5 6.60 0.0 109 108 108 -1 6 Billy Spellbound 2 55.0 6 7.00 0.0 83 97 97 +14 7 Sister Light 3 58.0 7 7.25 8.0 90 87 87 -3 8 Smorgasbord 6 56.5 8 8.75 0.0 108 100 100 -8 99 Shoemaker 2 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 109 109 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zinovi | 96 | 120 | 93 | +27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Princeofgreen | 88 | 87 | 92 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fostinovo Line | 87 | 80 | 87 | -7 | 8.0 | ||
| 4 | Calida | 85 | 72 | 93 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Star Coin | 109 | 78 | 108 | -30 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Billy Spellbound | 83 | 73 | 97 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sister Light | 90 | 96 | 87 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | Smorgasbord | 108 | 77 | 100 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Shoemaker | - | 109 | 109 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points