Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Beyondtheboundary
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Master Josh          2    56.5    1    0.00     0.0   80    90           80    +0
2    Beyondtheboundary    3    58.5    2    1.30     7.0   83    83           83    +0
3    Romance In Rome      2    58.5    3    1.60     0.0   97    97           97    +0
4    Wylie Riley          2    55.0    4    2.35     0.0   77    89           89    +12
5    Ultra Quick          6    60.0    5    2.65     0.0   86    99           99    +13
6    Diani                5    60.0    6    2.85     0.0   87    99           99    +12
7    Down By The River    2    60.0    7    4.15     0.0   100   98           98    -2
8    Super Fast           5    54.5    8    4.45     0.0   76    86           86    +10
9    The Proprietor       3    55.5    9    5.75     7.0   78    74           74    -4
10   Kupholiwe            2    57.5    10   7.75     0.0   95    92           92    -3
11   Winter Baron         2    54.5    11   10.35    0.0   84    86           86    +2
99   Dynalley             2    53.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     84           84    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Master Josh 80 97 80 +17 0.0 -
2 Beyondtheboundary Line 83 72 83 -11 7.0
3 Romance In Rome 97 83 97 -14 0.0 -
4 Wylie Riley 77 79 89 -10 0.0 -
5 Ultra Quick 86 71 99 -28 0.0 -
6 Diani 87 96 99 -3 0.0 -
7 Down By The River 100 95 98 -3 0.0 -
8 Super Fast 76 83 86 -3 0.0 -
9 The Proprietor 78 63 74 -11 7.0 -
10 Kupholiwe 95 94 92 +2 0.0 -
11 Winter Baron 84 81 86 -5 0.0 -
99 Dynalley - 82 84 -2 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points