Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Beyondtheboundary
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Master Josh 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 90 80 +0 2 Beyondtheboundary 3 58.5 2 1.30 7.0 83 83 83 +0 3 Romance In Rome 2 58.5 3 1.60 0.0 97 97 97 +0 4 Wylie Riley 2 55.0 4 2.35 0.0 77 89 89 +12 5 Ultra Quick 6 60.0 5 2.65 0.0 86 99 99 +13 6 Diani 5 60.0 6 2.85 0.0 87 99 99 +12 7 Down By The River 2 60.0 7 4.15 0.0 100 98 98 -2 8 Super Fast 5 54.5 8 4.45 0.0 76 86 86 +10 9 The Proprietor 3 55.5 9 5.75 7.0 78 74 74 -4 10 Kupholiwe 2 57.5 10 7.75 0.0 95 92 92 -3 11 Winter Baron 2 54.5 11 10.35 0.0 84 86 86 +2 99 Dynalley 2 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Master Josh | 80 | 97 | 80 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Beyondtheboundary Line | 83 | 72 | 83 | -11 | 7.0 | ||
| 3 | Romance In Rome | 97 | 83 | 97 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Wylie Riley | 77 | 79 | 89 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ultra Quick | 86 | 71 | 99 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Diani | 87 | 96 | 99 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Down By The River | 100 | 95 | 98 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Super Fast | 76 | 83 | 86 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | The Proprietor | 78 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Kupholiwe | 95 | 94 | 92 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Winter Baron | 84 | 81 | 86 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dynalley | - | 82 | 84 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points