Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
See You In A Bit
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
12 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Great Cat 5 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 62 82 68 +6 2 See You In A Bit 4 59.0 2 3.25 4.5 74 74 74 +0 3 Hanging Rock 2 60.0 3 3.65 0.0 76 84 84 +8 4 Look Forward 3 58.5 4 5.65 7.0 60 66 66 +6 5 Royal Lytham 4 52.5 5 7.15 4.5 61 59 59 -2 6 Dark Future 2 51.5 6 8.40 0.0 49 66 66 +17 7 Montreal 2 59.5 7 10.40 0.0 75 82 82 +7 8 Catch Your Breath 4 59.0 8 11.15 4.5 - 72 72 +72 9 Camaraderie 2 51.5 9 16.40 0.0 56 66 66 +10 99 Enchanted Sky 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 99 Emerald Flower 3 59.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 67 67 +0 99 Lady Luck 4 59.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Mrs Shackleton 2 51.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Great Cat | 62 | 82 | 68 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | See You In A Bit Line | 74 | 67 | 74 | -7 | 4.5 | ||
| 3 | Hanging Rock | 76 | 67 | 84 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Look Forward | 60 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Royal Lytham | 61 | 69 | 59 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Dark Future | 49 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Montreal | 75 | 55 | 82 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Catch Your Breath | - | 94 | 72 | +22 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Camaraderie | 56 | 45 | 66 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Enchanted Sky | - | 78 | 83 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Emerald Flower | - | - | 67 | -67 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Lady Luck | - | 66 | 72 | -6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Mrs Shackleton | - | 50 | 66 | -16 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points