Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Faire Advantage
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pineapple Express 3 59.0 1 0.00 7.0 76 74 74 -2 2 Rapidash 2 59.5 2 1.75 0.0 91 92 92 +1 3 Faire Advantage 3 59.5 3 3.00 7.0 77 77 77 +0 4 Heart Stealer 5 60.0 4 3.20 0.0 79 92 92 +13 5 Michael Faraday 2 61.0 5 3.25 0.0 81 94 94 +13 6 Querandi 2 59.5 6 3.65 0.0 91 90 90 -1 7 Double Olympic 4 60.0 7 4.15 4.5 92 82 82 -10 8 Northern Song 4 62.0 8 5.65 4.5 82 85 85 +3 9 Le Legionnaire 2 58.0 9 6.90 0.0 87 86 86 -1 10 King's Ransom 4 58.5 10 8.40 4.5 89 78 79 -10 11 Steadfast 2 58.0 11 10.15 0.0 88 86 86 -2 12 Director's Cut 3 58.5 12 10.55 7.0 76 73 73 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pineapple Express | 76 | 82 | 74 | +8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rapidash | 91 | 107 | 92 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Faire Advantage Line | 77 | 71 | 77 | -6 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Heart Stealer | 79 | 80 | 92 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Michael Faraday | 81 | 68 | 94 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Querandi | 91 | 64 | 90 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Double Olympic | 92 | 53 | 82 | -29 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Northern Song | 82 | 77 | 85 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Le Legionnaire | 87 | 84 | 86 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | King's Ransom | 89 | 89 | 79 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Steadfast | 88 | 75 | 86 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Director's Cut | 76 | 76 | 73 | +3 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points