Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs)
Line Horse
Fire Tonic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Few Dollars More 2 52.0 1 0.00 0.0 59 63 59 +0 2 Scampton 2 59.5 2 3.10 0.0 78 80 80 +2 3 Amber Sky 2 60.0 3 4.15 0.0 79 80 80 +1 4 Fire Tonic 3 60.5 4 4.20 7.0 67 67 67 +0 5 Hunters Arrow 2 59.5 5 4.50 0.0 65 78 78 +13 6 Sir William 3 60.0 6 6.00 7.0 66 65 65 -1 7 Ibiza Night 2 56.0 7 6.90 0.0 58 71 71 +13 8 Tipouri 3 53.5 8 7.90 7.0 69 52 59 -10 9 Silver Savage 2 57.0 9 9.60 0.0 73 73 73 +0 10 Russian Writer 3 57.0 10 9.90 7.0 60 59 59 -1 11 Du Cane 2 54.5 11 10.00 0.0 55 68 68 +13 12 Mo King 2 59.5 12 57.70 0.0 78 78 78 +0 99 The Golden Goal 4 52.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Few Dollars More | 59 | 84 | 59 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Scampton | 78 | 70 | 80 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Amber Sky | 79 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fire Tonic Line | 67 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | Hunters Arrow | 65 | 54 | 78 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sir William | 66 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ibiza Night | 58 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tipouri | 69 | 72 | 59 | +13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Silver Savage | 73 | 52 | 73 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Russian Writer | 60 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Du Cane | 55 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mo King | 78 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | The Golden Goal | - | 55 | 54 | +1 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points