Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: WWW.SOCCER6.CO.ZA MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Esther
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Paris Rix 3 57.0 1 0.00 8.5 76 68 76 +0 2 Tuscan Gold 2 59.5 2 0.25 5.5 73 79 79 +6 3 Georgie George 3 52.0 3 1.50 8.5 57 58 58 +1 4 Esther 3 60.5 4 2.25 8.5 75 75 75 +0 5 Spanish Fort 5 52.0 5 3.50 0.0 58 75 75 +17 6 Raptor Island 2 51.0 6 3.75 5.5 64 62 62 -2 7 Warbonnet Creek (IR 4 55.0 7 4.50 10.0 63 61 61 -2 7 Global Force 2 59.5 7 4.50 5.5 84 79 79 -5 9 Jaquar Cat 3 52.0 9 6.00 8.5 50 58 58 +8 10 Tiger In Red 3 56.0 10 11.50 8.5 66 66 66 +0 11 Victory Of Dubai 3 58.0 11 12.75 8.5 70 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Rix | 76 | 81 | 76 | +5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Tuscan Gold | 73 | 84 | 79 | +5 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Georgie George | 57 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Esther Line | 75 | 93 | 75 | +18 | 8.5 | ||
| 5 | Spanish Fort | 58 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Raptor Island | 64 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 5.5 | - | |
| 7 | Warbonnet Creek (IRE) | 63 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Global Force | 84 | 80 | 79 | +1 | 5.5 | - | |
| 9 | Jaquar Cat | 50 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Tiger In Red | 66 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - | |
| 11 | Victory Of Dubai | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points