Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: www.tabgold.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
El Draque
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Buoyant Knight 3 59.0 1 0.00 8.5 - 50 6 +6 2 El Draque 5 60.0 2 0.70 0.0 69 69 69 +0 3 The Shepherd 3 59.0 3 1.30 8.5 - 50 50 +50 4 Phutulicious 3 59.0 4 3.30 8.5 - 50 50 +50 5 Sweeper Keeper 4 59.0 5 3.60 10.0 - 47 47 +47 6 Rafino 3 60.0 6 4.90 8.5 - 52 52 +52 7 Ment To Fly 2 59.0 7 6.40 5.5 80 56 70 -10 8 Cappellino 3 59.0 8 7.30 8.5 - 50 50 +50 9 Lucky Murphy 3 55.0 9 7.90 8.5 - 42 42 +42 10 Tickalox 4 59.0 10 8.20 10.0 75 47 65 -10 11 Zin Zan Dan 2 55.0 11 9.20 5.5 66 48 56 -10 12 The Big Short 3 59.0 12 32.00 8.5 - 50 50 +50 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buoyant Knight | - | 82 | 6 | +76 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | El Draque Line | 69 | 57 | 69 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | The Shepherd | - | 97 | 50 | +47 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Phutulicious | - | 74 | 50 | +24 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Sweeper Keeper | - | 67 | 47 | +20 | 10.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rafino | - | 45 | 52 | -7 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Ment To Fly | 80 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 5.5 | - | |
| 8 | Cappellino | - | 61 | 50 | +11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 9 | Lucky Murphy | - | 57 | 42 | +15 | 8.5 | - | |
| 10 | Tickalox | 75 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 10.0 | - | |
| 11 | Zin Zan Dan | 66 | 64 | 56 | +8 | 5.5 | - | |
| 12 | The Big Short | - | 33 | 50 | -17 | 8.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points