Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: 4RACING MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Secret Chord
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
17 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 San Simon 3 60.0 1 0.00 8.5 - 82 6 +6 2 Dual Prophecy 3 60.0 2 0.75 8.5 - 82 82 +82 3 Mid Winter Wind 3 60.0 3 1.50 8.5 - 82 82 +82 4 Secret Chord 4 60.0 4 2.50 10.0 79 79 79 +0 5 Precipeace 3 60.0 5 2.75 8.5 - 82 82 +82 6 Two Miles West 3 60.0 6 3.25 8.5 - 82 82 +82 7 To The Rescue 4 58.5 7 8.50 10.0 - 76 76 +76 8 Justcantgetenough 2 60.0 8 9.50 5.5 78 88 88 +10 9 Hat Man 4 60.0 9 9.75 10.0 - 79 79 +79 10 Knockemstiff 2 60.0 10 9.80 5.5 77 88 88 +11 11 Mr Blue Flame 3 60.0 11 10.50 8.5 - 82 82 +82 12 Duke Of Oxford 3 56.0 12 11.50 8.5 - 74 74 +74 13 Thunderbird 4 58.5 13 15.00 10.0 - 76 76 +76 14 Mamalo 3 60.0 14 16.00 8.5 - 82 82 +82 15 Stellar Fella 3 60.0 15 31.00 8.5 - 82 82 +82 99 Great Barrier 4 57.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Just A Mo 3 60.0 99 0.00 8.5 - 82 82 +0 99 Statesman 2 60.0 99 0.00 5.5 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Simon | - | 86 | 6 | +80 | 8.5 | - | |
| 2 | Dual Prophecy | - | 79 | 82 | -3 | 8.5 | - | |
| 3 | Mid Winter Wind | - | 116 | 82 | +34 | 8.5 | - | |
| 4 | Secret Chord Line | 79 | 92 | 79 | +13 | 10.0 | ||
| 5 | Precipeace | - | - | 82 | -82 | 8.5 | - | |
| 6 | Two Miles West | - | 93 | 82 | +11 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | To The Rescue | - | 82 | 76 | +6 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Justcantgetenough | 78 | 57 | 88 | -31 | 5.5 | - | |
| 9 | Hat Man | - | 60 | 79 | -19 | 10.0 | - | |
| 10 | Knockemstiff | 77 | 65 | 88 | -23 | 5.5 | - | |
| 11 | Mr Blue Flame | - | 59 | 82 | -23 | 8.5 | - | |
| 12 | Duke Of Oxford | - | 66 | 74 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 13 | Thunderbird | - | 70 | 76 | -6 | 10.0 | - | |
| 14 | Mamalo | - | - | 82 | -82 | 8.5 | - | |
| 15 | Stellar Fella | - | - | 82 | -82 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Great Barrier | - | 60 | 74 | -14 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Just A Mo | - | - | 82 | -82 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Statesman | - | 63 | 88 | -25 | 5.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points