Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: NEED FOR SPEED SPRINT (For 3-year-olds - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
Future Variety
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Blue Holly 4 55.5 1 0.00 10.0 95 90 90 -5 2 Captain Arrow 2 57.5 2 0.75 5.5 92 103 103 +11 3 Future Variety 4 57.5 3 0.95 10.0 94 94 94 +0 4 Yamadori 4 57.5 4 3.20 10.0 92 94 94 +2 5 Underworld 2 60.0 5 3.70 5.5 105 108 108 +3 6 Elusive Winter 4 57.5 6 4.10 10.0 93 94 94 +1 7 Jewel Cat 2 57.0 7 4.30 5.5 88 102 102 +14 8 The Abdicator (IRE) 4 57.5 8 5.55 10.0 91 94 94 +3 99 Meu Capitano 4 58.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 96 96 +0 99 Mojo Man 4 59.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 98 98 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Holly | 95 | 85 | 90 | -5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Captain Arrow | 92 | 101 | 103 | -2 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Future Variety Line | 94 | 116 | 94 | +22 | 10.0 | ||
| 4 | Yamadori | 92 | 97 | 94 | +3 | 10.0 | - | |
| 5 | Underworld | 105 | 111 | 108 | +3 | 5.5 | - | |
| 6 | Elusive Winter | 93 | 104 | 94 | +10 | 10.0 | - | |
| 7 | Jewel Cat | 88 | 91 | 102 | -11 | 5.5 | - | |
| 8 | The Abdicator (IRE) | 91 | 94 | 94 | ✓ Match | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Meu Capitano | - | 111 | 96 | +15 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Mojo Man | - | 80 | 98 | -18 | 10.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points