Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Ibutho
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Cherokee Trail       2    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   82    79           82    +0
2    Sugar Blast          2    55.5    2    1.00     0.0   93    80           83    -10
3    Ibutho               7    56.5    3    1.80     0.0   81    81           81    +0
4    Syx Hotfix           3    60.5    4    2.00     7.0   89    75           79    -10
5    Beach Palace         4    48.0    5    3.30     4.0   84    54           74    -10
6    Let The Flag Fly     2    50.5    6    3.60     0.0   90    67           80    -10
7    Selukwe              3    57.0    7    4.50     7.0   82    65           72    -10
8    Rodriguez            6    48.0    8    5.20     0.0   72    61           62    -10
99   Aqua Bolt            5    57.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     80           80    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Cherokee Trail 82 86 82 +4 0.0 -
2 Sugar Blast 93 102 83 +19 0.0 -
3 Ibutho Line 81 83 81 +2 0.0
4 Syx Hotfix 89 83 79 +4 7.0 -
5 Beach Palace 84 67 74 -7 4.0 -
6 Let The Flag Fly 90 78 80 -2 0.0 -
7 Selukwe 82 115 72 +43 7.0 -
8 Rodriguez 72 69 62 +7 0.0 -
99 Aqua Bolt - 84 80 +4 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points