Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 77 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Jollification
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Petit Verdot         2    57.5    1    0.00     0.0   73    85           73    +0
2    Jollification        3    57.0    2    0.75     8.0   72    72           72    +0
3    Reckless Love        4    59.0    3    1.00     4.5   75    83           83    +8
4    Gardenia             5    60.0    4    1.10     0.0   77    94           94    +17
5    Aquae Sulis          5    54.0    5    1.60     0.0   73    81           81    +8
6    Bosnay               4    59.5    6    1.85     4.5   92    83           83    -9
7    Lillybelle           6    60.5    7    3.55     0.0   81    92           92    +11
8    Escapologist         5    58.5    8    3.75     0.0   75    88           88    +13
9    Theappleofmyeye      3    57.0    9    4.15     8.0   72    69           69    -3
10   Oh So Squishy        3    54.0    10   15.85    8.0   73    62           63    -10
99   Mountainsofthemoon   2    56.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     83           83    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Petit Verdot 73 75 73 +2 0.0 -
2 Jollification Line 72 77 72 +5 8.0
3 Reckless Love 75 72 83 -11 4.5 -
4 Gardenia 77 75 94 -19 0.0 -
5 Aquae Sulis 73 69 81 -12 0.0 -
6 Bosnay 92 74 83 -9 4.5 -
7 Lillybelle 81 73 92 -19 0.0 -
8 Escapologist 75 77 88 -11 0.0 -
9 Theappleofmyeye 72 63 69 -6 8.0 -
10 Oh So Squishy 73 68 63 +5 8.0 -
99 Mountainsofthemoon - 65 83 -18 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points