Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: LAISSERFAIRE STAKES (Listed) (Fillies and Mares Handicap for 3-year-old and older)
Line Horse
Hunting Trip
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Baltic Secret 2 52.0 1 0.00 5.0 93 88 93 +0 2 October Morn 2 54.5 2 0.30 5.0 103 93 93 -10 3 Oni San 2 52.5 3 1.80 5.0 89 89 89 +0 4 Candy Town 2 52.0 4 2.00 5.0 94 88 88 -6 5 Hunting Trip 2 56.5 5 3.25 5.0 97 97 97 +0 6 Miss Marguerite 5 56.0 6 4.25 0.0 96 106 106 +10 7 Pacific Green 2 53.0 7 4.35 5.0 90 90 90 +0 8 Blue Holly 4 52.0 8 6.10 9.0 95 80 85 -10 9 La Pura Vida 2 53.5 9 8.85 5.0 91 91 91 +0 10 Ameena 2 62.0 10 9.25 5.0 108 108 108 +0 99 The Charleston 2 52.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltic Secret | 93 | 98 | 93 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | October Morn | 103 | 119 | 93 | +26 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Oni San | 89 | 78 | 89 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Candy Town | 94 | 104 | 88 | +16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Hunting Trip Line | 97 | 96 | 97 | -1 | 5.0 | ||
| 6 | Miss Marguerite | 96 | 91 | 106 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pacific Green | 90 | 91 | 90 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blue Holly | 95 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | La Pura Vida | 91 | 77 | 91 | -14 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ameena | 108 | 103 | 108 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | The Charleston | - | 83 | 88 | -5 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points