Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 69 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Mysterious Girl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Three Strands 3 59.5 1 0.00 8.0 69 53 69 +0 2 Givers Grace 2 54.5 2 0.05 0.0 77 59 67 -10 3 Mysterious Girl 2 59.0 3 4.55 0.0 68 68 68 +0 4 Free Will 3 55.0 4 5.15 8.0 60 44 50 -10 5 Lady Canton 2 58.5 5 5.55 0.0 82 67 72 -10 6 Flight Display 2 55.5 6 5.95 0.0 76 61 66 -10 7 Baby On Board 2 58.0 7 6.20 0.0 81 66 71 -10 8 Shaken Not Stirred 4 51.5 8 6.80 4.5 60 44 50 -10 9 Hot Strike 7 53.0 9 7.70 0.0 55 56 56 +1 10 Last Ginger 4 55.0 10 8.00 4.5 75 51 65 -10 11 Miss Paget 4 51.0 11 9.20 4.5 75 43 65 -10 12 Shell Seeker 3 58.0 12 11.30 8.0 65 50 55 -10 13 Duchess Of Gold 2 60.0 13 12.30 0.0 70 70 70 +0 14 Perfect Trust 7 58.5 14 15.30 0.0 66 67 67 +1 99 Masters Queen 3 52.0 99 0.00 8.0 - 38 38 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Three Strands | 69 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Givers Grace | 77 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mysterious Girl Line | 68 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Free Will | 60 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lady Canton | 82 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Flight Display | 76 | 81 | 66 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Baby On Board | 81 | 84 | 71 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Shaken Not Stirred | 60 | 55 | 50 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Hot Strike | 55 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Last Ginger | 75 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Miss Paget | 75 | 71 | 65 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 12 | Shell Seeker | 65 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 8.0 | - | |
| 13 | Duchess Of Gold | 70 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Perfect Trust | 66 | 50 | 67 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Masters Queen | - | 56 | 38 | +18 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points