Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Naushon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Naushon 3 61.0 1 0.00 7.0 70 70 70 +0 2 Run Rudolph Run 3 54.5 2 1.00 7.0 57 61 61 +4 3 Cosmic Captain 2 53.5 3 2.25 0.0 70 72 72 +2 4 Apache Chief 4 61.0 4 3.75 4.0 85 77 77 -8 5 Renowned 2 56.0 5 5.00 0.0 75 74 74 -1 6 Rogue Male 3 53.5 6 6.25 7.0 47 55 55 +8 7 Padre D'or 3 59.0 7 7.75 7.0 - 66 66 +66 8 Flash Lightning 4 57.0 8 10.50 4.0 77 68 68 -9 9 Moremi Gorge 3 59.0 9 14.50 7.0 - 66 66 +66 10 Quinquereme 3 59.0 10 18.50 7.0 - 66 66 +66 99 Alfredthebrave 3 59.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naushon Line | 70 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 7.0 | ||
| 2 | Run Rudolph Run | 57 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cosmic Captain | 70 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Apache Chief | 85 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Renowned | 75 | 55 | 74 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rogue Male | 47 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Padre D'or | - | 60 | 66 | -6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flash Lightning | 77 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Moremi Gorge | - | 67 | 66 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Quinquereme | - | - | 66 | -66 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Alfredthebrave | - | - | 66 | -66 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points