Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: NEW TURF CARRIERS MERCHANTS (Grade 3) (Open)

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Line Horse
Danilo Danilovitch
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Dyce                 6    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   116   131          122   +6
2    Gladatorian          5    58.0    2    4.25     0.0   114   129          129   +15
3    Danilo Danilovitch   3    55.0    3    5.75     7.5   108   108          108   +0
4    Moonshiningthrough   3    52.0    4    6.25     7.5   101   102          102   +1
5    Rollwiththepunches   6    56.0    5    8.50     0.0   110   125          125   +15
6    Swing Upon A Star    2    54.0    6    8.55     5.0   106   111          111   +5
7    Dave The King        2    63.0    7    8.80     5.0   124   129          129   +5
8    Ultra Magnus         6    52.0    8    10.25    0.0   102   117          117   +15
9    Mercantour           5    57.5    9    10.50    0.0   113   128          128   +15
10   Forever Mine         4    55.5    10   15.50    9.0   109   106          106   -3
99   Tchaikovsky          6    52.0    99   16.00    0.0   89    117          89    +0
99   Main Defender        4    56.5    99   0.00     9.0   -     108          108   +0
99   Captain Hindsight    5    56.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     125          125   +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Dyce 116 128 122 +6 0.0 -
2 Gladatorian 114 127 129 -2 0.0 -
3 Danilo Danilovitch Line 108 89 108 -19 7.5
4 Moonshiningthrough 101 96 102 -6 7.5 -
5 Rollwiththepunches 110 90 125 -35 0.0 -
6 Swing Upon A Star 106 102 111 -9 5.0 -
7 Dave The King 124 128 129 -1 5.0 -
8 Ultra Magnus 102 98 117 -19 0.0 -
9 Mercantour 113 113 128 -15 0.0 -
10 Forever Mine 109 105 106 -1 9.0 -
99 Tchaikovsky 89 81 89 -8 0.0 -
99 Main Defender - 130 108 +22 9.0 -
99 Captain Hindsight - 112 125 -13 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points