Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT SUMMER FESTIVAL MEETING SUNDAY 10 DECEMBER CAPE C STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 74 & below)
Line Horse
Great Cat
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Wylie Jack 6 53.0 1 0.00 0.0 56 62 62 +6 2 On Board 3 57.0 2 1.75 6.0 71 58 61 -10 3 Great Cat 5 57.0 3 3.50 0.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Swift Action 3 60.0 4 3.80 6.0 71 64 64 -7 5 Final Move 3 54.0 5 4.00 6.0 57 52 52 -5 6 Rock On Tommy 3 51.0 6 4.10 6.0 50 46 46 -4 7 Wordsworth 7 54.0 7 5.35 0.0 59 64 64 +5 8 Warm Winter Nite 2 61.5 8 6.85 4.0 80 71 71 -9 9 Bonanza 3 55.5 9 6.90 6.0 61 55 55 -6 10 King Mo 2 60.0 10 8.90 4.0 70 68 68 -2 11 Bullitt 2 58.5 11 14.40 4.0 67 65 65 -2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wylie Jack | 56 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | On Board | 71 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Great Cat Line | 70 | 82 | 70 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Swift Action | 71 | 77 | 64 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Final Move | 57 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Rock On Tommy | 50 | 50 | 46 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Wordsworth | 59 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Warm Winter Nite | 80 | 92 | 71 | +21 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bonanza | 61 | 57 | 55 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | King Mo | 70 | 53 | 68 | -15 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bullitt | 67 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points