Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: CAPE MERCHANTS (Grade 2) (Handicap for 3-year-old Horses and older)
Line Horse
Surjay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cosmic Highway 3 55.0 1 0.00 6.0 108 108 108 +0 2 Countdown 2 54.5 2 0.20 4.0 107 111 111 +4 3 Surjay 3 60.5 3 0.60 6.0 119 119 119 +0 4 Quasiforsure 4 58.5 4 0.90 7.0 115 113 113 -2 5 Wecangoallnight 2 54.0 5 1.30 4.0 106 110 110 +4 6 Bartholdi 4 60.5 6 1.35 7.0 119 117 117 -2 7 Silver Falcon 6 59.0 7 1.75 0.0 116 128 128 +12 8 Double Superlative 3 61.0 8 2.15 6.0 120 120 120 +0 9 Montien 3 53.5 9 2.45 6.0 105 105 105 +0 10 After The Rain 4 53.0 10 3.70 7.0 104 102 102 -2 11 Without Question 5 61.0 11 3.90 0.0 120 132 132 +12 12 Benjamin 4 52.0 12 5.15 7.0 80 100 100 +20 13 Look For Hounds 4 58.0 13 5.25 7.0 114 112 112 -2 14 King Regent 3 58.5 14 5.35 6.0 115 115 115 +0 15 Mufasa 6 52.0 15 6.35 0.0 102 114 114 +12 16 Noble City 3 54.5 16 13.10 6.0 107 107 107 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cosmic Highway | 108 | 115 | 108 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Countdown | 107 | 106 | 111 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Surjay Line | 119 | 121 | 119 | +2 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Quasiforsure | 115 | 116 | 113 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Wecangoallnight | 106 | 95 | 110 | -15 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bartholdi | 119 | 117 | 117 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Silver Falcon | 116 | 106 | 128 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Double Superlative | 120 | 124 | 120 | +4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Montien | 105 | 122 | 105 | +17 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | After The Rain | 104 | 98 | 102 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Without Question | 120 | 111 | 132 | -21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Benjamin | 80 | 75 | 100 | -25 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | Look For Hounds | 114 | 104 | 112 | -8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 14 | King Regent | 115 | 106 | 115 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 15 | Mufasa | 102 | 98 | 114 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 16 | Noble City | 107 | 93 | 107 | -14 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points