Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Darling Harbour
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Beating Wings 4 59.0 1 0.00 3.0 - 69 6 +6 2 Sukhumvit 3 59.0 2 2.25 6.0 - 66 66 +66 3 Darling Harbour 4 59.0 3 5.75 3.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Ice Cap 3 57.5 4 7.50 6.0 58 60 60 +2 5 Higgledy Piggledy 3 59.0 5 7.55 6.0 - 63 63 +63 6 Perform 2 60.0 6 9.25 0.0 59 77 77 +18 7 Silky Jet 4 57.5 7 12.00 3.0 - 66 66 +66 8 City Lights 4 59.0 8 12.25 3.0 67 69 69 +2 9 Voshaarnooi 2 60.0 9 17.00 0.0 52 77 77 +25 10 Gothic Princess 2 59.0 10 17.50 0.0 66 75 75 +9 11 Marieskop 3 59.0 11 24.00 6.0 - 63 63 +63 12 Im A Blondie 2 59.0 12 25.50 0.0 36 75 75 +39 99 Wild Willow 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 65 65 +0 99 Amor Perdido 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 65 65 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beating Wings | - | 112 | 6 | +106 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sukhumvit | - | 100 | 66 | +34 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Darling Harbour Line | 69 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Ice Cap | 58 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Higgledy Piggledy | - | 74 | 63 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Perform | 59 | 54 | 77 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Silky Jet | - | 61 | 66 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | City Lights | 67 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Voshaarnooi | 52 | 50 | 77 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Gothic Princess | 66 | 62 | 75 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Marieskop | - | 50 | 63 | -13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Im A Blondie | 36 | 36 | 75 | -39 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Wild Willow | - | 38 | 65 | -27 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Amor Perdido | - | - | 65 | -65 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points