Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: DOWNLOAD THE RACE CARD ONLINE www.goldcircle.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Ment To Fly
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lashlaroo 3 60.0 1 0.00 6.0 78 72 72 -6 2 Future Saint 4 60.0 2 0.40 7.0 - 70 70 +70 3 Gorgeous Guy 2 60.0 3 3.90 4.0 80 76 76 -4 4 Ment To Fly 2 60.0 4 4.15 4.0 76 76 76 +0 5 Run To Rio 4 60.0 5 5.25 7.0 82 70 72 -10 6 Cappellino 3 60.0 6 6.05 6.0 - 72 72 +72 7 Summer Shade 4 60.0 7 6.85 7.0 - 70 70 +70 8 Heaven's Will 3 60.0 8 10.75 6.0 - 72 72 +72 9 Rafino 3 60.0 9 15.05 6.0 56 72 72 +16 10 Roy's Ruffian 6 60.0 10 16.35 0.0 - 84 84 +84 11 Madison Valley 4 60.0 11 20.15 7.0 - 70 70 +70 99 Magma Magic 4 60.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Silver Savage 2 60.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 76 76 +0 99 Grande Signor 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Global Entity 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Cannatonic 3 58.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 69 69 +0 99 Castle Mey 3 60.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lashlaroo | 78 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Future Saint | - | 53 | 70 | -17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gorgeous Guy | 80 | 81 | 76 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ment To Fly Line | 76 | 73 | 76 | -3 | 4.0 | ||
| 5 | Run To Rio | 82 | 71 | 72 | -1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cappellino | - | 61 | 72 | -11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Summer Shade | - | 52 | 70 | -18 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Heaven's Will | - | 62 | 72 | -10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rafino | 56 | 45 | 72 | -27 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Roy's Ruffian | - | 20 | 84 | -64 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Madison Valley | - | 116 | 70 | +46 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Magma Magic | - | 81 | 70 | +11 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silver Savage | - | 52 | 76 | -24 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Grande Signor | - | 34 | 72 | -38 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Global Entity | - | 46 | 72 | -26 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cannatonic | - | 48 | 69 | -21 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Castle Mey | - | 61 | 72 | -11 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points