Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: BET WITH TABGOLD - THE INTELLIGENT BET! MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Quick Star
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lord Wylie 7 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 81 77 81 +0 2 Captain Who 4 55.0 2 0.80 3.0 70 64 64 -6 3 Wylie Riley 2 60.0 3 1.20 0.0 80 80 80 +0 4 Quick Star 6 56.0 4 1.25 0.0 72 72 72 +0 5 Sundance Kid 5 56.0 5 1.45 0.0 72 71 71 -1 6 Midnight Caller 4 57.5 6 1.70 3.0 75 68 68 -7 7 Beach Palace 4 56.5 7 2.20 3.0 83 66 73 -10 8 Lucky Dollar 2 54.0 8 5.90 0.0 68 64 64 -4 9 Shotgun Willie 3 57.0 9 8.30 5.0 74 60 64 -10 99 Master Josh 2 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Unsolved Riddle 3 59.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Kimball O'Hara 2 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lord Wylie | 81 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Captain Who | 70 | 65 | 64 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Wylie Riley | 80 | 79 | 80 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Quick Star Line | 72 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Sundance Kid | 72 | 96 | 71 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Midnight Caller | 75 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Beach Palace | 83 | 67 | 73 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lucky Dollar | 68 | 85 | 64 | +21 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Shotgun Willie | 74 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Master Josh | - | 97 | 72 | +25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Unsolved Riddle | - | 77 | 64 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kimball O'Hara | - | 61 | 67 | -6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points