Official NHA Assessment

Race 6: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 88 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Captain Wara
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Hope Is Power        3    52.0    1    0.00     6.0   80    76           80    +0
2    Tribute To You       4    60.0    2    0.05     7.0   88    90           90    +2
3    Donquerari           5    59.0    3    0.75     0.0   86    102          102   +16
4    Captain Wara         2    59.0    4    1.05     4.0   94    94           94    +0
5    Patronage            4    56.0    5    2.05     7.0   83    82           82    -1
6    Cotton Ron           6    52.0    6    3.95     0.0   71    88           88    +17
7    Love In Winter       4    57.5    7    11.05    7.0   83    85           85    +2
99   Harley Street        3    55.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     82           82    +0
99   The Gliding Fish     6    54.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     92           92    +0
99   Neitherherenorther   3    57.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     86           86    +0
99   Licence To Thrill    4    56.0    99   0.00     7.0   -     82           82    +0
99   Thisiswhatitmeans    4    57.5    99   0.00     7.0   -     85           85    +0
99   Common Grounds       4    56.0    99   0.00     7.0   -     82           82    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Hope Is Power 80 80 80 ✓ Match 6.0 -
2 Tribute To You 88 90 90 ✓ Match 7.0 -
3 Donquerari 86 86 102 -16 0.0 -
4 Captain Wara Line 94 90 94 -4 4.0
5 Patronage 83 76 82 -6 7.0 -
6 Cotton Ron 71 59 88 -29 0.0 -
7 Love In Winter 83 74 85 -11 7.0 -
99 Harley Street - 81 82 -1 6.0 -
99 The Gliding Fish - 68 92 -24 0.0 -
99 Neitherherenorther - 90 86 +4 6.0 -
99 Licence To Thrill - 98 82 +16 7.0 -
99 Thisiswhatitmeans - 106 85 +21 7.0 -
99 Common Grounds - 86 82 +4 7.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points