Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TABGOLD NEW SOCCER CORNERS FM 63 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Drive By
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hot Strike 7 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 54 50 54 +0 2 Drive By 6 58.5 2 2.30 0.0 60 60 60 +0 3 Mythical Tune 3 54.0 3 3.10 7.0 59 36 49 -10 4 Leopard Lady 4 58.5 4 3.70 3.5 60 52 52 -8 5 Rowins Dream 5 58.5 5 4.00 0.0 61 58 58 -3 6 Fashionigma 3 58.5 6 4.20 7.0 60 44 50 -10 7 Free Will 3 57.5 7 4.50 7.0 59 41 49 -10 8 Flight Display 2 58.5 8 5.10 0.0 74 56 64 -10 9 Rosy Future 4 58.5 9 5.20 3.5 63 49 53 -10 10 Doctor's Orders 2 59.5 10 5.50 0.0 76 58 66 -10 11 Bay Breeze 3 59.0 11 6.30 7.0 61 43 51 -10 12 Natalia 2 54.5 12 7.00 0.0 53 48 48 -5 13 Two Minds 3 54.0 13 10.50 7.0 52 33 42 -10 14 If You Say So 3 58.0 14 16.20 7.0 59 41 49 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hot Strike | 54 | 59 | 54 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Drive By Line | 60 | 68 | 60 | +8 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Mythical Tune | 59 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Leopard Lady | 60 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Rowins Dream | 61 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Fashionigma | 60 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Free Will | 59 | 49 | 49 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flight Display | 74 | 81 | 64 | +17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rosy Future | 63 | 55 | 53 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Doctor's Orders | 76 | 79 | 66 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bay Breeze | 61 | 52 | 51 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Natalia | 53 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Two Minds | 52 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 14 | If You Say So | 59 | 57 | 49 | +8 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points