Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 82 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pomodoro Magic
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Winter Lake 4 58.0 1 0.00 7.0 86 64 86 +0 2 Whatever Next 6 60.5 2 1.25 0.0 83 83 83 +0 3 Pomodoro Magic 5 56.0 3 1.75 0.0 74 74 74 +0 4 Tipsy Tina 2 60.5 4 2.25 4.0 83 75 75 -8 5 Ella's Delight 2 56.0 5 2.50 4.0 74 66 66 -8 6 Princess Deb's 3 60.0 6 3.75 6.0 82 70 72 -10 7 Vegas Gold 3 56.0 7 4.00 6.0 79 62 69 -10 8 Ferrando 3 54.0 8 5.25 6.0 70 58 60 -10 9 Giacomo Puccini 4 57.5 9 6.50 7.0 77 63 67 -10 10 Great Melody 3 57.5 10 6.55 6.0 77 65 67 -10 11 Father's Frost 7 55.0 11 7.80 0.0 72 72 72 +0 12 Seattle Ripper 2 55.0 12 14.55 4.0 80 64 70 -10 99 Light That Loose 4 62.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 73 73 +0 99 Bonnaroo 3 62.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Winter Lake | 86 | 87 | 86 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Whatever Next | 83 | 73 | 83 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Pomodoro Magic Line | 74 | 53 | 74 | -21 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Tipsy Tina | 83 | 91 | 75 | +16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ella's Delight | 74 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Princess Deb's | 82 | 80 | 72 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Vegas Gold | 79 | 83 | 69 | +14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Ferrando | 70 | 74 | 60 | +14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Giacomo Puccini | 77 | 72 | 67 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Great Melody | 77 | 79 | 67 | +12 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Father's Frost | 72 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Seattle Ripper | 80 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Light That Loose | - | 86 | 73 | +13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bonnaroo | - | 84 | 74 | +10 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points