Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CAPE B STAKES (For All Horses with a nett rating of 94 & below)
Line Horse
Teflon Man
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Yellowporscheroad 2 61.5 1 0.00 4.0 94 108 100 +6 2 Gimmelightning 2 58.5 2 0.75 4.0 95 102 102 +7 3 Bluff On Bluff 3 54.0 3 0.95 6.0 77 89 89 +12 4 Teflon Man 4 58.5 4 1.35 7.0 96 96 96 +0 5 The Abdicator (IRE) 4 57.0 5 2.10 7.0 91 93 93 +2 6 Porque Te Vas 5 54.0 6 4.85 0.0 84 101 101 +17 7 Tyrion Lannister 2 54.0 7 5.15 4.0 87 93 93 +6 8 Barney Mcgrew 4 57.0 8 5.45 7.0 84 93 93 +9 9 Beerenberg 2 61.5 9 7.20 4.0 92 108 108 +16 10 Plaza Accord 2 54.5 10 7.70 4.0 87 94 94 +7 99 Benjamin 4 55.5 99 0.00 7.0 - 90 90 +0 99 Speeding Bullet 2 55.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yellowporscheroad | 94 | 97 | 100 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gimmelightning | 95 | 95 | 102 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bluff On Bluff | 77 | 80 | 89 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Teflon Man Line | 96 | 106 | 96 | +10 | 7.0 | ||
| 5 | The Abdicator (IRE) | 91 | 94 | 93 | +1 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Porque Te Vas | 84 | 78 | 101 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tyrion Lannister | 87 | 88 | 93 | -5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Barney Mcgrew | 84 | 69 | 93 | -24 | 7.0 | - | |
| 9 | Beerenberg | 92 | 76 | 108 | -32 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Plaza Accord | 87 | 84 | 94 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Benjamin | - | 75 | 90 | -15 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Speeding Bullet | - | 73 | 96 | -23 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points