Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GOLD CIRCLE WISHES YOU A MERRY CHRISTMAS PINNACLE STAKES (For all Horses rated nett 116 & below)
Line Horse
Coin Spinner
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pray For Rain 4 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 110 109 109 -1 2 Ultra Magnus 6 56.0 2 0.30 0.0 100 115 115 +15 3 Coin Spinner 3 57.0 3 1.20 6.0 105 105 105 +0 4 African Skyline 6 56.0 4 1.95 0.0 101 115 115 +14 5 Good Traveller 6 55.5 5 2.45 0.0 103 114 114 +11 6 Stanley Park 2 52.0 6 2.85 4.0 80 99 99 +19 7 Captain's Christy 4 51.0 7 2.95 7.0 100 91 91 -9 8 Captain Bombshell 2 57.0 8 4.00 4.0 102 109 109 +7 9 Maquette 3 50.5 9 4.05 6.0 83 92 92 +9 10 Barzalona 6 54.0 10 4.10 0.0 95 111 111 +16 11 Renaissance Man 3 52.0 11 5.50 6.0 88 95 95 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pray For Rain | 110 | 106 | 109 | -3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ultra Magnus | 100 | 98 | 115 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Coin Spinner Line | 105 | 101 | 105 | -4 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | African Skyline | 101 | 98 | 115 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Good Traveller | 103 | 108 | 114 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Stanley Park | 80 | 69 | 99 | -30 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captain's Christy | 100 | 95 | 91 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Captain Bombshell | 102 | 106 | 109 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Maquette | 83 | 91 | 92 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Barzalona | 95 | 66 | 111 | -45 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Renaissance Man | 88 | 79 | 95 | -16 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points