Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets Bright Future CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 68)

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Line Horse
Shifting Path
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Mr Frostie           4    52.0    1    0.00     7.0   50    46           46    -4
2    Kelp Forest          5    60.5    2    0.40     0.0   69    77           77    +8
3    Mighty Mac           5    61.0    3    0.45     0.0   70    78           78    +8
4    Shifting Path        2    58.0    4    1.70     4.0   64    64           64    +0
5    Master Of Paris      4    59.5    5    1.90     7.0   75    61           65    -10
6    Masked Vigilante     3    62.0    6    2.20     6.0   72    68           68    -4
7    Grand Bay            2    59.0    7    2.95     4.0   74    66           66    -8
8    Black Path           6    52.5    8    3.70     0.0   52    61           61    +9
9    Warm Winter Nite     2    61.5    9    4.45     4.0   79    71           71    -8
10   Final Move           3    54.5    10   5.20     6.0   57    53           53    -4
11   King Mo              2    58.5    11   5.70     4.0   65    65           65    +0
12   Veronique            6    53.5    12   6.10     0.0   55    63           63    +8
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mr Frostie 50 51 46 +5 7.0 -
2 Kelp Forest 69 81 77 +4 0.0 -
3 Mighty Mac 70 52 78 -26 0.0 -
4 Shifting Path Line 64 62 64 -2 4.0
5 Master Of Paris 75 87 65 +22 7.0 -
6 Masked Vigilante 72 78 68 +10 6.0 -
7 Grand Bay 74 74 66 +8 4.0 -
8 Black Path 52 58 61 -3 0.0 -
9 Warm Winter Nite 79 92 71 +21 4.0 -
10 Final Move 57 50 53 -3 6.0 -
11 King Mo 65 53 65 -12 4.0 -
12 Veronique 55 56 63 -7 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points