Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Greenland
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Two A Penny 2 54.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 69 69 -11 2 Greenland 2 58.0 2 0.40 0.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Kwite A King 4 58.0 3 1.65 3.5 72 72 72 +0 4 Lockheedlightning 2 60.0 4 1.85 0.0 65 83 83 +18 5 Fly Futura 3 58.0 5 4.10 7.0 79 63 69 -10 6 Continentalexpress 3 58.0 6 4.50 7.0 - 62 62 +62 7 French Trip 4 58.0 7 5.25 3.5 - 69 69 +69 8 Firingonallengines 4 56.5 8 5.35 3.5 78 66 68 -10 9 Cosmic Rhythm 2 58.0 9 5.40 0.0 78 76 76 -2 10 Sansa Stark 4 54.5 10 6.90 3.5 77 62 67 -10 11 Pointdexter 2 58.0 11 7.65 0.0 69 76 76 +7 12 Reign Of Honour 3 58.0 12 8.90 7.0 65 62 62 -3 13 Nocturnal Flight 3 58.0 13 8.95 7.0 70 62 62 -8 99 Storm Boulevard 3 60.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 66 66 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Two A Penny | 80 | 85 | 69 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Greenland Line | 81 | 71 | 81 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Kwite A King | 72 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Lockheedlightning | 65 | 66 | 83 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Fly Futura | 79 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Continentalexpress | - | 92 | 62 | +30 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | French Trip | - | 88 | 69 | +19 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Firingonallengines | 78 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cosmic Rhythm | 78 | 59 | 76 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sansa Stark | 77 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Pointdexter | 69 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Reign Of Honour | 65 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 13 | Nocturnal Flight | 70 | 72 | 62 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Storm Boulevard | - | 64 | 66 | -2 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points