Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 73 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Aspoestertjie
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Tara Star            4    57.5    1    0.00     7.0   79    54           79    +0
2    Rafeef's Choice      5    59.5    2    1.80     0.0   72    72           72    +0
3    Aspoestertjie        5    60.0    3    1.85     0.0   73    73           73    +0
4    Fort J'adore         3    61.0    4    3.95     6.0   75    63           65    -10
5    Spirited Flight      5    54.5    5    5.05     0.0   62    62           62    +0
6    Harley's Fate        2    59.0    6    5.55     4.0   71    63           63    -8
7    Can't Catch Me       5    53.0    7    7.15     0.0   59    59           59    +0
8    Kitten's Adventure   3    58.5    8    7.90     6.0   70    58           60    -10
9    Magicallee           4    59.0    9    12.00    7.0   71    57           61    -10
99   Palm Breeze          3    59.5    99   0.00     6.0   -     60           60    +0
99   Sting Ray            3    58.5    99   0.00     6.0   -     58           58    +0
99   Time Is Ticking      3    56.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     53           53    +0
99   Full Of Magic        4    56.0    99   0.00     7.0   -     51           51    +0
99   Witchwood            2    58.0    99   0.00     4.0   -     61           61    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Tara Star 79 96 79 +17 7.0 -
2 Rafeef's Choice 72 71 72 -1 0.0 -
3 Aspoestertjie Line 73 68 73 -5 0.0
4 Fort J'adore 75 67 65 +2 6.0 -
5 Spirited Flight 62 61 62 -1 0.0 -
6 Harley's Fate 71 67 63 +4 4.0 -
7 Can't Catch Me 59 58 59 -1 0.0 -
8 Kitten's Adventure 70 58 60 -2 6.0 -
9 Magicallee 71 65 61 +4 7.0 -
99 Palm Breeze - 66 60 +6 6.0 -
99 Sting Ray - 73 58 +15 6.0 -
99 Time Is Ticking - 60 53 +7 6.0 -
99 Full Of Magic - 52 51 +1 7.0 -
99 Witchwood - 78 61 +17 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points