Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON 031 314 1155 FM 67 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Mysterious Girl
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Givers Grace 2 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 69 80 +0 2 Mysterious Girl 2 58.5 2 3.70 0.0 68 68 68 +0 3 Leopard Lady 4 55.5 3 4.50 3.0 58 54 54 -4 4 Drive By 6 56.5 4 5.90 0.0 60 61 61 +1 5 Rowins Dream 5 55.0 5 6.00 0.0 58 58 58 +0 6 Doctor's Orders 2 58.0 6 8.80 0.0 75 64 65 -10 7 Two Minds 3 52.0 7 9.00 6.0 52 40 42 -10 8 Fashionigma 3 55.5 8 9.50 6.0 58 47 48 -10 99 Columbia Road 3 54.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 45 45 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Givers Grace | 80 | 61 | 80 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mysterious Girl Line | 68 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Leopard Lady | 58 | 55 | 54 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Drive By | 60 | 68 | 61 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Rowins Dream | 58 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Doctor's Orders | 75 | 79 | 65 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Two Minds | 52 | 52 | 42 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fashionigma | 58 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Columbia Road | - | 54 | 45 | +9 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points