Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 11 JANUARY MR 75 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kalahari Blue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fully Loaded 5 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 78 85 78 +0 2 Kalahari Blue 2 60.0 2 1.25 3.5 75 75 75 +0 3 Cerulean Dancer 2 52.5 3 1.30 3.5 60 60 60 +0 4 Twice As Wild 6 52.0 4 2.50 0.0 56 66 66 +10 5 Twice The Storm 2 60.0 5 2.55 3.5 75 75 75 +0 6 Circus Lights 5 55.0 6 2.65 0.0 65 72 72 +7 7 Fast Duty 3 58.5 7 2.70 5.0 72 69 69 -3 8 Jet Cat 9 54.5 8 5.00 0.0 63 71 71 +8 9 Mariachi Madness 2 58.5 9 9.00 3.5 82 72 72 -10 10 Kings Road 5 58.0 10 29.00 0.0 79 78 78 -1 99 Kittyboys Girl 2 54.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 63 63 +0 99 Here With Me 2 57.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 70 70 +0 99 After Hours 7 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fully Loaded | 78 | 94 | 78 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kalahari Blue Line | 75 | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Cerulean Dancer | 60 | 71 | 60 | +11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Twice As Wild | 56 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twice The Storm | 75 | 73 | 75 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Circus Lights | 65 | 64 | 72 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Fast Duty | 72 | 67 | 69 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Jet Cat | 63 | 60 | 71 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Mariachi Madness | 82 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Kings Road | 79 | 79 | 78 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Kittyboys Girl | - | 59 | 63 | -4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Here With Me | - | 77 | 70 | +7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | After Hours | - | 79 | 81 | -2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points