Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FRANSCHHOEK MOTOR MUSEUM WINCHESTER SPRINT CUP (For All Horses (Non-Black Type))
Line Horse
Mr Cobbs
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Thunderstruck 2 62.0 1 0.00 3.5 121 112 112 -9 2 Isivunguvungu 3 62.0 2 0.40 5.0 130 109 120 -10 3 Mufasa 6 54.0 3 0.70 0.0 100 103 103 +3 4 Bereave 4 62.0 4 0.75 6.0 120 107 110 -10 5 Mr Cobbs 5 54.0 5 2.00 0.0 103 103 103 +0 6 Rio Querari 5 62.0 6 2.40 0.0 120 119 119 -1 7 Ready To Charge 2 54.0 7 2.90 3.5 109 96 99 -10 8 Hunting Trip 2 50.0 8 4.15 3.5 97 88 88 -9 9 Resonate 3 56.0 9 5.15 5.0 106 97 97 -9 99 Outlaw King 2 52.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 92 92 +0 99 Yellowporscheroad 2 52.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 92 92 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunderstruck | 121 | 128 | 112 | +16 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Isivunguvungu | 130 | 130 | 120 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mufasa | 100 | 98 | 103 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Bereave | 120 | 111 | 110 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mr Cobbs Line | 103 | 106 | 103 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 6 | Rio Querari | 120 | 116 | 119 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Ready To Charge | 109 | 110 | 99 | +11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Hunting Trip | 97 | 96 | 88 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Resonate | 106 | 103 | 97 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Outlaw King | - | 123 | 92 | +31 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Yellowporscheroad | - | 97 | 92 | +5 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points