Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Prince Of Tibet
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lightning Glow 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 82 80 80 -2 2 Mr Belvedere 4 60.0 2 0.40 2.5 78 80 80 +2 3 Plus Four 2 60.0 3 1.65 0.0 74 83 83 +9 4 Prince Of Tibet 4 60.0 4 1.95 2.5 78 78 78 +0 5 Claw 4 60.0 5 2.95 2.5 - 77 77 +77 6 Voorloopertjie 2 60.0 6 4.95 0.0 - 80 80 +80 7 Red Rackham 3 60.0 7 5.95 5.0 - 70 70 +70 8 Island Master 3 60.0 8 11.45 5.0 71 70 70 -1 9 Tokyo Tower 2 60.0 9 14.70 0.0 - 80 80 +80 10 Red Skyline 3 60.0 10 99.99 5.0 62 70 70 +8 99 Baton Rouge 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lightning Glow | 82 | 92 | 80 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mr Belvedere | 78 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Plus Four | 74 | 87 | 83 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Prince Of Tibet Line | 78 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Claw | - | 91 | 77 | +14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Voorloopertjie | - | 96 | 80 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Red Rackham | - | 63 | 70 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Island Master | 71 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Tokyo Tower | - | - | 80 | - | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Red Skyline | 62 | 62 | 70 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Baton Rouge | - | 69 | 75 | -6 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points