Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: FOLLOW CAPE RACING ON SOCIAL MEDIA OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Four Jacks
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dream Searcher 2 53.0 1 0.00 0.0 67 68 68 +1 2 Heliotrope 3 55.0 2 0.30 6.0 73 65 65 -8 3 French Trip 4 57.0 3 2.05 3.0 72 73 73 +1 4 Four Jacks 4 56.0 4 2.45 3.0 70 70 70 +0 5 Apache Chief 4 60.0 5 3.95 3.0 78 77 77 -1 6 Pointdexter 2 55.5 6 4.25 0.0 69 74 74 +5 7 Mister Lincoln 3 55.5 7 6.00 6.0 58 61 61 +3 8 Bella's Pablo 3 56.0 8 6.75 6.0 70 62 62 -8 9 Dawn Cloud 2 53.5 9 7.50 0.0 64 69 69 +5 10 Approach Shot 2 57.0 10 9.50 0.0 72 76 76 +4 11 Come On You Spurs 2 53.5 11 11.75 0.0 52 69 69 +17 12 Analytic 2 57.0 12 12.05 0.0 77 76 76 -1 13 Millennium Dancer 4 53.0 13 13.05 3.0 53 62 62 +9 14 Take A Mulligan 4 59.0 14 13.55 3.0 76 74 74 -2 99 English Mistress 4 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 73 73 +0 99 Fairfield 2 55.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dream Searcher | 67 | 87 | 68 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Heliotrope | 73 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | French Trip | 72 | 88 | 73 | +15 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Four Jacks Line | 70 | 65 | 70 | -5 | 3.0 | ||
| 5 | Apache Chief | 78 | 74 | 77 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pointdexter | 69 | 62 | 74 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mister Lincoln | 58 | 57 | 61 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bella's Pablo | 70 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Dawn Cloud | 64 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Approach Shot | 72 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Come On You Spurs | 52 | 51 | 69 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Analytic | 77 | 54 | 76 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Millennium Dancer | 53 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | Take A Mulligan | 76 | 50 | 74 | -24 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | English Mistress | - | 70 | 73 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fairfield | - | 69 | 73 | -4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points