Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: TAB 4RACING APP MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden (F&M) R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)

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Line Horse
As Fate Has It
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    As Fate Has It       4    59.0    1    0.00     2.5   76    76           76    +0
2    Sea Of Tears         2    60.0    2    1.50     0.0   62    86           86    +24
3    Dumisani             5    60.0    3    5.75     0.0   59    83           83    +24
4    Rain Bird            2    59.0    4    5.85     0.0   64    81           81    +17
5    Hat's Miracle        2    59.0    5    6.85     0.0   57    81           81    +24
6    Bytheliteofthemoon   4    59.0    6    7.10     2.5   67    76           76    +9
7    Elusive Mata         4    59.0    7    8.85     2.5   69    76           76    +7
8    My True Love         4    59.0    8    8.95     2.5   55    76           76    +21
9    Spring In Her Step   3    56.5    9    10.95    4.0   -     68           68    +68
10   Diamond Rockstar     3    60.0    10   11.70    4.0   42    75           75    +33
11   Roadlesstravelled    2    59.0    11   12.95    0.0   52    81           81    +29
12   Dance Mo             3    59.0    12   17.20    4.0   -     73           73    +73
13   French Script        3    59.0    13   21.70    4.0   40    73           73    +33
14   Royal Soji           3    59.0    14   23.45    4.0   -     73           73    +73
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 As Fate Has It Line 76 88 76 +12 2.5
2 Sea Of Tears 62 60 86 -26 0.0 -
3 Dumisani 59 60 83 -23 0.0 -
4 Rain Bird 64 70 81 -11 0.0 -
5 Hat's Miracle 57 59 81 -22 0.0 -
6 Bytheliteofthemoon 67 70 76 -6 2.5 -
7 Elusive Mata 69 58 76 -18 2.5 -
8 My True Love 55 50 76 -26 2.5 -
9 Spring In Her Step - 45 68 -23 4.0 -
10 Diamond Rockstar 42 42 75 -33 4.0 -
11 Roadlesstravelled 52 47 81 -34 0.0 -
12 Dance Mo - 54 73 -19 4.0 -
13 French Script 40 38 73 -35 4.0 -
14 Royal Soji - - 73 -73 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points