Official NHA Assessment

Race 3: FOLLOW IN THE BOX SEAT PODCAST MR 78 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Lucretius
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Ancient World        2    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   88    76           88    +0
1    Afropolitan          6    59.5    1    0.00     0.0   82    77           82    +0
3    Lucretius            6    56.0    3    1.90     0.0   73    73           73    +0
4    Straight Up          5    61.5    4    2.10     0.0   81    84           84    +3
5    Catch The Tune       6    59.5    5    2.20     0.0   77    80           80    +3
6    Banzai Pipeline      7    60.0    6    2.95     0.0   78    80           80    +2
7    Fine Admiral         3    52.5    7    3.45     6.0   64    52           54    -10
8    Eventidor            6    58.0    8    3.70     0.0   74    75           75    +1
9    Ice Kingdom          2    61.5    9    3.85     0.0   82    82           82    +0
10   Famous And Rich      2    59.5    10   3.90     0.0   78    78           78    +0
11   Cyber Time           3    60.0    11   4.15     6.0   78    67           68    -10
12   Fireflare            2    56.0    12   5.85     0.0   82    70           72    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Ancient World 88 85 88 -3 0.0 -
1 Afropolitan 82 84 82 +2 0.0 -
3 Lucretius Line 73 64 73 -9 0.0
4 Straight Up 81 79 84 -5 0.0 -
5 Catch The Tune 77 70 80 -10 0.0 -
6 Banzai Pipeline 78 62 80 -18 0.0 -
7 Fine Admiral 64 73 54 +19 6.0 -
8 Eventidor 74 89 75 +14 0.0 -
9 Ice Kingdom 82 80 82 -2 0.0 -
10 Famous And Rich 78 66 78 -12 0.0 -
11 Cyber Time 78 81 68 +13 6.0 -
12 Fireflare 82 69 72 -3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points