Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R60 000 Win BSA Bonus Series)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Forest Spy 2 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 - - - +0 2 Emily's Spirit 2 57.5 2 2.50 3.0 - - - +0 3 Glitterfox 2 57.5 3 3.00 3.0 - - - +0 4 Sand Bank 2 57.5 4 9.25 3.0 - - - +0 5 Cheveley Moon 2 57.5 5 12.50 3.0 - - - +0 6 Crionna 2 57.5 6 13.00 3.0 - - - +0 7 Sunset Reaper 2 60.0 7 13.10 3.0 - - - +0 8 Blonde Magic 2 57.5 8 34.10 3.0 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forest Spy | - | 85 | - | +85 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Emily's Spirit | - | 53 | - | +53 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Glitterfox | - | 57 | - | +57 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Sand Bank | - | 63 | - | +63 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Cheveley Moon | - | 53 | - | +53 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Crionna | - | 44 | - | +44 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sunset Reaper | - | 51 | - | +51 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Blonde Magic | - | 69 | - | +69 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points