Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CAPE TURF CLUB SYNDICATES MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Mr Belvedere
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Join The Dots 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 - 73 6 +6 2 Foudre 3 60.0 2 0.75 5.0 83 77 77 -6 3 Mr Belvedere 4 60.0 3 2.25 2.5 81 81 81 +0 4 Prince Of Tibet 4 60.0 4 3.50 2.5 78 79 79 +1 5 Midway 3 60.0 5 5.00 5.0 - 73 73 +73 6 Greenland 2 60.0 6 5.50 0.0 81 83 83 +2 7 Song To The Moon 3 60.0 7 5.90 5.0 84 73 74 -10 8 Pressonregardless 4 60.0 8 6.65 2.5 82 78 78 -4 9 Givethatmanabells 4 60.5 9 7.40 2.5 82 79 79 -3 10 Firingonallengines 4 60.0 10 7.45 2.5 76 78 78 +2 11 Juan Les Pins 3 60.0 11 9.20 5.0 - 73 73 +73 12 Jovial 2 60.0 12 9.70 0.0 73 83 83 +10 13 Ischyro 3 60.0 13 10.00 5.0 - 73 73 +73 14 Petteia 2 60.0 14 12.25 0.0 80 83 83 +3 99 To The Hilt 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 73 73 +0 99 Spelling Bee 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 83 83 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Join The Dots | - | 81 | 6 | +75 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Foudre | 83 | 87 | 77 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mr Belvedere Line | 81 | 55 | 81 | -26 | 2.5 | ||
| 4 | Prince Of Tibet | 78 | 63 | 79 | -16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Midway | - | 65 | 73 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Greenland | 81 | 71 | 83 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Song To The Moon | 84 | 84 | 74 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Pressonregardless | 82 | 109 | 78 | +31 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Givethatmanabells | 82 | 70 | 79 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Firingonallengines | 76 | 69 | 78 | -9 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Juan Les Pins | - | 56 | 73 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Jovial | 73 | 70 | 83 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Ischyro | - | 54 | 73 | -19 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Petteia | 80 | 50 | 83 | -33 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | To The Hilt | - | 73 | 73 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Spelling Bee | - | 86 | 83 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points