Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)
KENILWORTH RACECOURSE | Wednesday, 31 January 2024 | 16:35
Distance:
1000m
Going:
Good
Stakes:
R155,000
Weight For Age(SSL) 3yrs:3.5 Weight For Age(SNL) 3yrs:5.5
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Icy Blast | 4 ch. g | 60.0kg | 7 | - | - | - | 88 | 16/1 |
| 1st | The Abdicator (IRE) | 4 b. g | 55.0kg | 12 | Mr R D Fourie | - | 91 | 94 | 9/2 |
| 2nd | Future Variety | 4 ch. g | 60.5kg | 5 | Mr M A Winnaar | 0.1 | 102 | 116 | 9/2 |
| 3rd | All About Al | 7 b. g | 54.0kg | 4 | Mr G Wright | 2.35 | 82 | 78 | 20/1 |
| 4 | Axl TF | 3 b. c | 56.0kg | 1 | Mr P C Orffer | 2.65 | 86 | 84 | 33/10 |
| 5 | Meu Capitano | 4 b. g | 57.0kg | 9 | Mr J M Solomons | 3.4 | 95 | 111 | 25/1 |
| 6 | Tough Terrain | 5 b. g | 54.5kg | 14 | Mr C Zackey | 3.6 | 83 | 81 | 10/1 |
| 7 | Beerenberg | 2 b. c | 58.0kg | 2 | Mr L Mxothwa | 4.6 | 90 | 76 | 66/1 |
| 8 | Bluff On Bluff | 3 b. g | 52.5kg (52.0) | 11 | Mr A D Andrews | 4.9 | 77 | 80 | 25/1 |
| 9 | Night Bomber | 4 b. g | 53.0kg (52.5) | 3 | Mr A Arries | 6.4 | 86 | 96 | 20/1 |
| 10 | Speeding Bullet | 2 b. c | 54.0kg | 13 | Mr C B Bantam | 6.9 | 89 | 73 | 40/1 |
| 11 | Exchange Student | 4 b. f | 58.0kg | 10 | Mr R Danielson | 7.65 | 97 | 104 | 20/1 |
| 12 | Yamadori | 4 b. g | 55.5kg | 8 | Mr G van Niekerk | 8.65 | 92 | 97 | 8/1 |
| 13 | Barney Mcgrew | 4 b. g | 53.5kg | 6 | Mr D L Ashby | 8.85 | 81 | 69 | 100/1 |
| 14 | Navajo Dancer | 2 b. c | 52.5kg (52.0) | 7 | Mr P S Cele | 10.1 | 84 | 56 | 40/1 |
| 15 | Silver Crown | 2 b. c | 53.5kg | 15 | Mr O Noach | 10.85 | 88 | 84 | 33/1 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
58.58s
Average Time
59.04s
Difference
%.2fs
Total Pool
R1,015,000
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Abdicator (IRE) | 1 | 91 | 94 | + 7 | -4 | |
| Future Variety | 2 | 102 | 116 | -1 | + 15 | |
| All About Al | 3 | 82 | 78 | -1 | -3 | |
| Axl | 4 | 86 | 84 | -1 | -1 | |
| Meu Capitano | 5 | 95 | 111 | -2 | + 18 | |
| Tough Terrain | 6 | 83 | 81 | -2 | ||
| Beerenberg | 7 | 90 | 76 | -2 | -12 | |
| Bluff On Bluff | 8 | 77 | 80 | -2 | + 5 | |
| Night Bomber | 9 | 86 | 96 | -3 | + 13 | |
| Speeding Bullet | 10 | 89 | 73 | -3 | -13 | |
| Exchange Student | 11 | 97 | 104 | -3 | + 10 | |
| Yamadori | 12 | 92 | 97 | -3 | + 8 | |
| Barney Mcgrew | 13 | 81 | 69 | -3 | -9 | |
| Navajo Dancer | 14 | 84 | 56 | -4 | -24 | |
| Silver Crown | 15 | 88 | 84 | -4 | ||
| Icy Blast | None | - | 88 | - | -193 | - |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.
Stipes Report
THE STARTER REPORTED: a) MEU CAPITANO (J Solomons) was slow into stride. THE STIPENDIARY STEWARDS REPORTED: a) Leaving the 200m, a tiring YAMADORI (G van Niekerk) was steadied briefly when close to the heels of MEU CAPITANO (J Solomon), which was hanging out, shifted out and was immediately straightened. b) THE ABDICATOR (IRE), the winner, was selected for the taking of specimens for analysis. Trainer B Crawford was advised. (WM) JOCKEY AND/OR EQUIPMENT CHANGES: a) SPEEDING BULLET raced without pacifiers and with ear muffs (declared 17h46 on 20240130) b) J Solomons rode MEU CAPITANO (declared 15h48 on 20240131) c) A Arries (NIGHT BOMBER) rode +0.5kg (53.2kgs) d) S Cele (NAVAJO DANCER) rode +0.5kg (52.6kgs) e) A Andrews (BLUFF ON BLUFF) rode +0.5kg (52.6kgs) RACE CARD CHANGES / OTHER a) Nil THE VETERINARY SURGEON REPORTED: a) BEERENBERG - coughing SCRATCHED: a) ICY BLAST - no jockey available (declared 16h12 on 20240131)