Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 94)

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Line Horse
All About Al
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    The Abdicator (IRE)  4    55.0    1    0.00     6.0   91    72           72    -19
2    Future Variety       4    60.5    2    0.10     6.0   102   83           92    -10
3    All About Al         7    54.0    3    2.35     0.0   82    82           82    +0
4    Axl                  3    56.0    4    2.65     5.0   86    76           76    -10
5    Meu Capitano         4    57.0    5    3.40     6.0   95    76           85    -10
6    Tough Terrain        5    54.5    6    3.60     0.0   83    83           83    +0
7    Beerenberg           2    58.0    7    4.60     3.5   90    83           83    -7
8    Bluff On Bluff       3    52.5    8    4.90     5.0   77    69           69    -8
9    Night Bomber         4    53.0    9    6.40     6.0   86    68           76    -10
10   Speeding Bullet      2    54.0    10   6.90     3.5   89    75           79    -10
11   Exchange Student     4    58.0    11   7.65     6.0   97    78           87    -10
12   Yamadori             4    55.5    12   8.65     6.0   92    73           82    -10
13   Barney Mcgrew        4    53.5    13   8.85     6.0   81    69           71    -10
14   Navajo Dancer        2    52.5    14   10.10    3.5   84    72           74    -10
15   Silver Crown         2    53.5    15   10.85    3.5   88    74           78    -10
99   Icy Blast            4    60.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     82           82    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 The Abdicator (IRE) 91 94 72 +22 6.0 -
2 Future Variety 102 116 92 +24 6.0 -
3 All About Al Line 82 78 82 -4 0.0
4 Axl 86 84 76 +8 5.0 -
5 Meu Capitano 95 111 85 +26 6.0 -
6 Tough Terrain 83 81 83 -2 0.0 -
7 Beerenberg 90 76 83 -7 3.5 -
8 Bluff On Bluff 77 80 69 +11 5.0 -
9 Night Bomber 86 96 76 +20 6.0 -
10 Speeding Bullet 89 73 79 -6 3.5 -
11 Exchange Student 97 104 87 +17 6.0 -
12 Yamadori 92 97 82 +15 6.0 -
13 Barney Mcgrew 81 69 71 -2 6.0 -
14 Navajo Dancer 84 56 74 -18 3.5 -
15 Silver Crown 88 84 78 +6 3.5 -
99 Icy Blast - 88 82 +6 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points