Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 78)
Line Horse
Typeface
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Two A Penny 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 80 65 65 -15 2 Typeface 2 60.0 2 0.30 0.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Woman's World 4 53.5 3 0.50 2.5 75 60 65 -10 4 Coulditbe 4 56.0 4 2.00 2.5 80 63 70 -10 5 Philosophise 5 61.0 5 3.50 0.0 80 76 76 -4 6 Cattaleya 2 56.5 6 3.90 0.0 71 67 67 -4 7 Busy Lizzie 2 55.0 7 3.95 0.0 68 64 64 -4 8 Family Power 4 56.5 8 4.70 2.5 81 61 71 -10 9 Cloud Chaser 3 58.5 9 4.75 5.0 75 60 65 -10 10 Eternal Optimist 2 54.0 10 5.15 0.0 76 61 66 -10 11 Dual Agent 2 52.0 11 5.35 0.0 75 57 65 -10 12 Summer Fling 3 53.5 12 10.60 5.0 65 50 55 -10 13 Miss New York 3 54.5 13 11.00 5.0 67 52 57 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Two A Penny | 80 | 85 | 65 | +20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Typeface Line | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Woman's World | 75 | 94 | 65 | +29 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Coulditbe | 80 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Philosophise | 80 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Cattaleya | 71 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Busy Lizzie | 68 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Family Power | 81 | 87 | 71 | +16 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cloud Chaser | 75 | 68 | 65 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Eternal Optimist | 76 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Dual Agent | 75 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Summer Fling | 65 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Miss New York | 67 | 61 | 57 | +4 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points