Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: CAPE RACING SALES MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Etoilefillante
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 In The Bag 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 71 69 69 -2 2 Etoilefillante 4 60.5 2 0.75 2.0 74 74 74 +0 3 Devil A Saint 4 60.0 3 0.80 2.0 68 73 73 +5 4 Amancio 3 60.0 4 0.90 3.0 - 71 71 +71 5 Go It Alone 4 60.0 5 1.10 2.0 71 73 73 +2 6 King Of Numbers 4 60.0 6 2.10 2.0 - 72 72 +72 7 Salute The Flag 3 60.0 7 2.50 3.0 75 69 69 -6 8 Tsunami Warning 3 60.0 8 3.50 3.0 74 68 68 -6 9 Gold Gunner 4 60.0 9 10.00 2.0 - 69 69 +69 99 Givethatmanabells 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | In The Bag | 71 | 61 | 69 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Etoilefillante Line | 74 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Devil A Saint | 68 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Amancio | - | 68 | 71 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Go It Alone | 71 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | King Of Numbers | - | 75 | 72 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Salute The Flag | 75 | 81 | 69 | +12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tsunami Warning | 74 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gold Gunner | - | 72 | 69 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Givethatmanabells | - | 70 | 69 | +1 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points