Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL MEETING TUESDAY 25 MARCH MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Snow Moon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Hat Furious 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 54 77 60 +6 2 Sovereign Crown 3 60.0 2 3.50 4.5 68 73 73 +5 3 Gift Of Royal 3 60.0 3 3.70 4.5 76 73 73 -3 4 Snow Moon 3 60.0 4 3.80 4.5 73 73 73 +0 5 Blue Crystal 3 60.0 5 6.55 4.5 59 72 72 +13 6 Divine Messenger 3 60.0 6 9.15 4.5 55 72 72 +17 7 Beartic 3 60.0 7 9.85 4.5 50 72 72 +22 8 Urquhart Castle 4 60.0 8 22.00 2.0 - 77 77 +77 99 Dylan's Champ 3 60.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Euphrates 3 60.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hat Furious | 54 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sovereign Crown | 68 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Gift Of Royal | 76 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Snow Moon Line | 73 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Blue Crystal | 59 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Divine Messenger | 55 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Beartic | 50 | 54 | 72 | -18 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Urquhart Castle | - | 37 | 77 | -40 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dylan's Champ | - | 87 | 72 | +15 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Euphrates | - | 70 | 72 | -2 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points