Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 16 FEBRUARY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Donny Tee
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
14 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Grey Smoke 2 58.5 1 0.00 3.0 77 81 77 +0 2 Donny Tee 4 61.0 2 0.05 5.0 82 82 82 +0 3 Grue Of Ice 6 56.0 3 0.30 0.0 69 82 82 +13 4 Kabon Kapi 5 57.0 4 0.80 0.0 76 84 84 +8 5 Putins Promise 5 60.0 5 1.30 0.0 74 90 90 +16 6 Great Times 3 53.5 6 1.55 4.5 61 68 68 +7 7 Coastal Path 5 59.0 7 1.60 0.0 72 88 88 +16 8 Euphoric 6 61.5 8 2.10 0.0 77 93 93 +16 9 Duke Of Orange 3 52.0 9 2.35 4.5 56 65 65 +9 10 Pashtunwali 6 59.5 10 3.10 0.0 73 89 89 +16 11 Notorix 6 60.5 11 3.15 0.0 75 91 91 +16 12 Cruzador 6 59.5 12 5.40 0.0 73 89 89 +16 13 Flying Peter 4 52.0 13 6.90 5.0 55 64 64 +9 14 Moonstrike 3 52.5 14 10.15 4.5 51 66 66 +15 15 Maserati Roar 3 60.0 15 28.40 4.5 74 81 81 +7 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grey Smoke | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Donny Tee Line | 82 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Grue Of Ice | 69 | 53 | 82 | -29 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Kabon Kapi | 76 | 96 | 84 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Putins Promise | 74 | 73 | 90 | -17 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Great Times | 61 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Coastal Path | 72 | 77 | 88 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Euphoric | 77 | 62 | 93 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Duke Of Orange | 56 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Pashtunwali | 73 | 58 | 89 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Notorix | 75 | 68 | 91 | -23 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Cruzador | 73 | 61 | 89 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Flying Peter | 55 | 52 | 64 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Moonstrike | 51 | 50 | 66 | -16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 15 | Maserati Roar | 74 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points