Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 17 FEBRUARY MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dr Faustus
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Linkin Navigator 2 60.5 1 0.00 3.0 87 87 87 +0 2 Var Park 5 56.0 2 0.50 0.0 80 84 84 +4 3 Dr Faustus 2 63.0 3 2.30 3.0 92 92 92 +0 4 Mescal 2 55.5 4 4.50 3.0 71 77 77 +6 5 Ethanator 2 59.0 5 5.75 3.0 84 84 84 +0 6 Micke's Bomb 4 57.5 6 6.50 5.0 81 77 77 -4 7 Herecomestherain 4 55.0 7 6.75 5.0 70 72 72 +2 8 Storm Player 3 59.5 8 6.85 4.5 85 82 82 -3 99 Inafix 4 55.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Faustino 3 63.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 90 90 +0 99 Work Of Time 2 58.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 83 83 +0 99 Dontshootthebarman 5 61.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 94 94 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linkin Navigator | 87 | 77 | 87 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Var Park | 80 | 87 | 84 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dr Faustus Line | 92 | 78 | 92 | -14 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Mescal | 71 | 64 | 77 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ethanator | 84 | 82 | 84 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Micke's Bomb | 81 | 60 | 77 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Herecomestherain | 70 | 55 | 72 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Storm Player | 85 | 75 | 82 | -7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Inafix | - | 69 | 72 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Faustino | - | 82 | 90 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Work Of Time | - | 75 | 83 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dontshootthebarman | - | 93 | 94 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points