Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: 4RACING.TV MAIDEN PLATE (For Maidens R15 000 Win Bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Belle's First Wave
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mo Flow 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 67 49 49 -18 2 Belle's First Wave 3 60.0 2 4.00 5.0 51 51 51 +0 3 Dumisani 5 56.5 3 4.25 0.0 57 54 54 -3 4 Ubuntu Warrior 2 60.0 4 12.25 0.0 51 59 59 +8 5 Wolfram 3 60.0 5 12.75 5.0 65 49 55 -10 6 Joe Harman 4 60.0 6 16.25 2.5 53 54 54 +1 7 Mentality Monster 3 57.5 7 18.00 5.0 73 44 63 -10 8 Fearless Badger 4 60.0 8 29.75 2.5 63 54 54 -9 9 Player X 2 60.0 9 99.99 0.0 73 59 63 -10 10 Thunder Force 3 60.0 10 99.99 5.0 - 49 49 +49 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mo Flow | 67 | 66 | 49 | +17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Belle's First Wave Line | 51 | 51 | 51 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Dumisani | 57 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Ubuntu Warrior | 51 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Wolfram | 65 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Joe Harman | 53 | 54 | 54 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mentality Monster | 73 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Fearless Badger | 63 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Player X | 73 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Thunder Force | - | 10 | 49 | -39 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points