Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Theres A Light
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Al Bayreg 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 78 76 76 -2 2 Theres A Light 4 60.0 2 0.05 2.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Monte Bello 3 60.0 3 2.75 3.0 - 78 78 +78 4 Galladorn 2 60.0 4 3.25 0.0 72 84 84 +12 5 Dhoni 2 60.0 5 3.30 0.0 82 83 83 +1 6 Trombettista 2 60.0 6 4.00 0.0 - 83 83 +83 7 The Playboy Bomber 4 60.0 7 4.90 2.0 - 78 78 +78 8 Remains Of The Day 3 60.0 8 5.00 3.0 76 76 76 +0 9 Sovereigns Call 4 60.0 9 6.25 2.0 62 78 78 +16 10 Nkandla Gold 4 60.0 10 7.75 2.0 66 78 78 +12 11 Phala Millions 4 60.0 11 8.00 2.0 68 78 78 +10 12 Path Of Power 3 60.0 12 10.25 3.0 - 76 76 +76 13 Thunderbird 4 60.0 13 14.00 2.0 - 78 78 +78 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Bayreg | 78 | 79 | 76 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Theres A Light Line | 78 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Monte Bello | - | 65 | 78 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Galladorn | 72 | 75 | 84 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dhoni | 82 | 76 | 83 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Trombettista | - | 63 | 83 | -20 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Playboy Bomber | - | 88 | 78 | +10 | 2.0 | - | |
| 8 | Remains Of The Day | 76 | 60 | 76 | -16 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sovereigns Call | 62 | 70 | 78 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | Nkandla Gold | 66 | 63 | 78 | -15 | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Phala Millions | 68 | 66 | 78 | -12 | 2.0 | - | |
| 12 | Path Of Power | - | 69 | 76 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Thunderbird | - | 70 | 78 | -8 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points