Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: CALL TELEBET TRACK & BALL FIXED ODDS ON 031 314 1155 MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Tomyris
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Blue Horizon 4 57.5 1 0.00 2.0 74 65 65 -9 2 Tomyris 4 60.0 2 0.40 2.0 75 75 75 +0 3 Gorgeous Girl 4 60.0 3 3.50 2.0 - 71 71 +71 4 Elusive Belle 4 60.0 4 3.70 2.0 72 71 71 -1 5 Madame Pompadour 2 60.0 5 4.00 0.0 71 75 75 +4 6 Vathomvlaffie 2 58.5 6 4.40 0.0 67 71 71 +4 7 Captain Marvel 3 60.0 7 20.10 3.0 51 68 68 +17 8 Roy's Oyster 6 60.0 8 21.10 0.0 29 74 74 +45 99 Long Street 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Ubukhwebezana 4 60.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blue Horizon | 74 | 84 | 65 | +19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tomyris Line | 75 | 93 | 75 | +18 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Gorgeous Girl | - | 74 | 71 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Elusive Belle | 72 | 51 | 71 | -20 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Madame Pompadour | 71 | 56 | 75 | -19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Vathomvlaffie | 67 | 56 | 71 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captain Marvel | 51 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Roy's Oyster | 29 | 20 | 74 | -54 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Long Street | - | 62 | 70 | -8 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ubukhwebezana | - | 93 | 70 | +23 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points