Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 1 MARCH MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Teatro
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    The Winter Lake      4    54.5    1    0.00     5.0   91    75           91    +0
2    Smorgasbord          6    61.0    2    1.25     0.0   103   98           98    -5
3    Teatro               5    59.5    3    2.50     0.0   95    95           95    +0
4    Whatever Next        6    55.5    4    3.00     0.0   87    87           87    +0
5    Tuscan Gold          2    52.5    5    3.05     3.0   81    75           75    -6
6    Greenlighttoheaven   4    56.5    6    3.55     5.0   89    79           79    -10
7    Captain Casanova     3    55.5    7    4.80     4.5   87    78           78    -9
8    Castletown           3    60.5    8    7.05     4.5   97    88           88    -9
9    Caitlyns Boy         2    52.0    9    7.30     3.0   78    74           74    -4
10   Renaissance Man      3    55.0    10   11.80    4.5   86    77           77    -9
99   Acorn                2    55.0    99   0.00     3.0   -     80           80    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 The Winter Lake 91 87 91 -4 5.0 -
2 Smorgasbord 103 77 98 -21 0.0 -
3 Teatro Line 95 91 95 -4 0.0
4 Whatever Next 87 73 87 -14 0.0 -
5 Tuscan Gold 81 84 75 +9 3.0 -
6 Greenlighttoheaven 89 83 79 +4 5.0 -
7 Captain Casanova 87 85 78 +7 4.5 -
8 Castletown 97 90 88 +2 4.5 -
9 Caitlyns Boy 78 71 74 -3 3.0 -
10 Renaissance Man 86 79 77 +2 4.5 -
99 Acorn - 89 80 +9 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points