Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 64 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
San Marzano
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Fish Eagle           5    62.0    1    0.00     0.0   68    72           68    +0
2    Lucky Dollar         2    59.5    2    0.40     0.0   63    72           72    +9
3    San Marzano          3    55.0    3    2.60     3.0   54    54           54    +0
4    Lou Lou The Legend   3    57.5    4    4.50     3.0   59    57           57    -2
5    Wave Warrior         3    59.5    5    5.40     3.0   63    61           61    -2
6    Porfirio             6    61.5    6    5.70     0.0   67    71           71    +4
7    Count Marsh          7    59.5    7    6.20     0.0   63    67           67    +4
8    Rafiki               2    59.5    8    6.80     0.0   63    67           67    +4
9    Bally Magic          6    55.0    9    7.30     0.0   54    58           58    +4
10   Stevie Gee           5    55.5    10   7.80     0.0   55    59           59    +4
11   Brass Bell           8    57.5    11   8.10     0.0   59    63           63    +4
12   Prosper's Gift       2    60.0    12   14.90    0.0   64    68           68    +4
99   Imaginable           3    62.0    99   0.00     3.0   -     66           66    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Fish Eagle 68 71 68 +3 0.0 -
2 Lucky Dollar 63 85 72 +13 0.0 -
3 San Marzano Line 54 53 54 -1 3.0
4 Lou Lou The Legend 59 59 57 +2 3.0 -
5 Wave Warrior 63 68 61 +7 3.0 -
6 Porfirio 67 88 71 +17 0.0 -
7 Count Marsh 63 52 67 -15 0.0 -
8 Rafiki 63 67 67 ✓ Match 0.0 -
9 Bally Magic 54 60 58 +2 0.0 -
10 Stevie Gee 55 65 59 +6 0.0 -
11 Brass Bell 59 55 63 -8 0.0 -
12 Prosper's Gift 64 64 68 -4 0.0 -
99 Imaginable - 92 66 +26 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points