Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Pendragon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Palace Revolt 2 59.5 1 0.00 3.0 80 65 80 +0 2 Pendragon 5 59.0 2 0.20 0.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Dancing Dora 6 55.5 3 1.00 0.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Stormy Seas 4 57.0 4 1.80 5.0 74 56 64 -10 5 In The Ether 6 61.0 5 2.30 0.0 74 74 74 +0 6 Lady Crusade 3 58.5 6 2.35 4.5 69 60 60 -9 7 Out The Mist 3 59.5 7 3.00 4.5 77 62 67 -10 8 Lil Miss Moneybags 3 60.0 8 8.50 4.5 72 63 63 -9 9 Galla Vanting 2 58.0 9 14.75 3.0 68 62 62 -6 99 Risky Business 3 52.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 47 47 +0 99 Flying Broomstick 3 58.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palace Revolt | 80 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pendragon Line | 70 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Dancing Dora | 63 | 53 | 63 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Stormy Seas | 74 | 77 | 64 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | In The Ether | 74 | 63 | 74 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Crusade | 69 | 67 | 60 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Out The Mist | 77 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Lil Miss Moneybags | 72 | 70 | 63 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Galla Vanting | 68 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Risky Business | - | 75 | 47 | +28 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Flying Broomstick | - | 52 | 60 | -8 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points